GMB Ep #117: A Top Economist’s Take on Personal Finance With Dr. Laurence Kotlikoff

 

Economics applies to every industry at the individual, national, and global level. In this week’s episode, we have a distinguished guest who is on a mission to make economics useful at all levels. Dr. Laurence Kotlikoff is an economics professor at Boston University. He is also the author of Money Magic, a personal finance book written from an economist’s standpoint. Today’s podcast examines his book and financial outlook, which frequently counters conventional economic theories. Throughout the podcast, he shares his experience in handling personal financial decisions while also discussing some insightful observations about the state of our country.

 

 

Show Notes

[03:38] Introduction – Laurence introduces himself and discusses his current career emphasis.

[06:22] Personal Financial Decision Making – We must see individual financial decisions through the prism of consumption smoothing. Laurence explains what this is and why it is essential.

[12:42] IRA and Mortgage – Laurence outlines why under certain circumstances, it makes sense to withdraw funds from the IRA to pay off the mortgage.

[18:43] Investments – Laurence discusses investments, stocks, and the importance of making sound investment decisions. Furthermore, he evaluates the risk associated with each sort of investment.

[32:06] Social Security – Laurence discusses how individuals can navigate the complex social security web.

[34:10] Viability – Laurence discusses the Social Security system’s viability and what individuals may do to prop it up.

[42:54] Massive Deficits – Whether it is the aggregate federal deficit, unfunded liabilities, or Social Security, taxing one’s way out of some deficits is politically unappealing. Laurence discusses his approach to enormous deficits.

[48:28] Politics and Economics – Laurence discusses the causes of present crises, relating them to a lack of synergy between politics and economics.

[51:33] Campaign Trail – Laurence reflects on his 2016 presidential campaign experience, and shares what he would do differently in 2024 if he was running with an unlimited campaign budget.

 

Resources

Connect with Laurence:

Website: kotlikoff.net/

LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/laurencekotlikoff/

 

Mentioned in the episode:

Maxifi: maxifiplanner.com/

Economic Security Planning: economicsecurityplanning.com/

Money Magic: An Economist’s Secrets to More Money, Less Risk, and a Better Life: goodreads.com/book/show/56620849-money-magic

GMB EP #116: A Top M&A Advisor’s Perspective on Growing & Selling Your Business

 

An exit strategy is a key aspect in a business owner’s journey. However, the majority of business owners do not consider their exit strategy until it is too late. On today’s episode of Grow Money Business, our guest is Michelle Seiler Tucker, a mergers and acquisitions specialist. She has over two decades of experience in the industry, and in that time, has assisted in selling over 500 businesses. Michelle not only aids business owners in the sale of their companies but also helps entrepreneurs and investors in acquiring businesses. Throughout the episode, Michelle imparts some of her wisdom she has accumulated over the years on growing and selling businesses.

 

 

Show Notes

[02:34] Introduction – Michelle introduces herself and discusses her career.

[07:18] Exiting a Business – Michelle shares key points and considerations when exiting a business.

[19:34] EBIT – Michelle explains why technology trades on multiple sales rather than EBIT.

[20:51] Additional Key Points – Michelle continues to provide her perspectives on a number of crucial elements that influence the sale of a business.

[31:48] Databases – Michelle describes the challenges and concerns regarding databases.

[34:08] Exit Rich – Michelle presents an overview of why she wrote her book, what it is about, and its target demographic.

[37:20] Interest Rates – Michelle shares her views on how interest rates affect the market for business acquisitions and sales.

[43:11] Biggest Mistakes – Michelle covers several of the most common errors she sees sellers make throughout the process.

[45:01] Confidentiality – Michelle emphasizes the importance of maintaining confidentiality when selling your business.

[50:19] Private Equity – Michelle outlines when it makes sense to start a private equity firm.

[56:15] Network of The Professional – Michelle describes the value of a professional network and how that impacts locating future opportunities.

[56:55] More on Mistakes – Michelle shares more insight on common mistakes people make when selling their business.

 

Resources

Connect with Michelle: 

Website: seilertucker.com/

LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/michelleseiler/

 

Mentioned in the episode: 

Exit Rich – Website: exitrichbook.com/

Exit Rich: The 6 P Method to Sell Your Business for Huge Profit:

amazon.com/Exit-Rich-Method-Business-Profit/dp/1732510288

The One Thing: The Surprisingly Simple Truth Behind Extraordinary Results: goodreads.com/book/show/the-one-thing

Behavioral Economics With Professor John Howe:

growmoneybusiness.com/podcast/behavioral-economics-with-professor-john-howe

GMB Ep #114: Behavioral Economics With Professor John Howe

 

When confronted with significant decisions, our thoughts frequently stand in the way of rational decision-making. Today’s episode of Grow Money Business features John Howe, a finance professor at the University of Missouri. He is an award-winning educator and researcher with expertise in investments, behavioral economics, household finance, corporate finance, and corporate governance. He is also the author of the book The Foolish Corner: Avoiding Mind Traps in Personal Financial Decisions. Throughout this episode, he shares his expertise and wisdom on behavioral economics, focusing specifically on the behavioral biases we all have regarding investing.

 

 

Show Notes

[03:36] Behavioral Economics – Prof. Howe discusses his background, career, and current activities.

[07:23] Kahneman’s Nobel Prize – Behavioral economics is a field of study that lies at the nexus of economics and psychology. Prof. Howe discusses how the Nobel laureate’s teaching of behavioral economics impacts his teachings.

[10:53] Diversified Portfolios – Prof. Howe highlights the importance of diversifying one’s investments.

[15:00] Confirmation Bias – Confirmation bias is a term that refers to our natural predisposition to be receptive to new information that confirms our existing beliefs. Prof. Howe explains how confirmation bias affects the decisions we make on a day to day basis.

[20:19] Transitions – Individuals frequently undergo transitions, such as selling a business they have built over the years or acquiring another. Prof. Howe shares his insights on what should be considered during such a transition.

[26:43] More on Biases – Prof. Howe explains the reason behind biases by presenting examples from evolutionary psychology.

[30:00] Reproducibility – One of the trademarks of the scientific method is the ability to replicate an experiment and obtain the same results. Prof. Howe broadly discusses the reproducibility issue in psychological research.

[40:49] Better Decisions – Prof. Howe explains how being well informed on biases can help us making better decisions in the future.

[49:31] The Future – Prof. Howe discusses the current research going in the field, as well as the future of behavioral economics.

[57:59] Research – Prof. Howe shares the current scientific issues that pique his interest.

[01:02:29] Mental Health – Prof. Howe shares his observations concerning the state of mental health in the United States and the way it affects people’s financial decisions.

[01:06:28] Gamblers – Prof. Howe outlines his view on gambling and how this relates to the human capacity for pattern recognition

[01:08:52] Books – Prof. Howe shares several books that are worth reading.

 

Resources

Connect with Professor John Howe:

LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/john-howe-1013498/

Newsletter: johnhowe.substack.com/welcome

 

Mentioned in the episode: 

Your body language may shape who you are | Amy Cuddy:

youtube.com/watch?v=Ks-_Mh1QhMc

The Foolish Corner: Avoiding Mind Traps in Personal Financial Decisions:

amazon.com/Foolish-Corner-Avoiding-Financial-Decisions/dp/099851070X

Science Fictions: How Fraud, Bias, Negligence, and Hype Undermine the Search for Truth:

amazon.com/Science-Fictions-Negligence-Undermine-Search/dp/1250222699

Rationality: What It Is, Why It Seems Scarce, Why It Matters:

amazon.com/Rationality-What-Seems-Scarce-Matters/dp/0525561994

Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics:

amazon.com/Misbehaving-Behavioral-Economics-Richard-Thaler/dp/039335279X

Thinking, Fast and Slow:

amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman/dp/0374533555

The Psychology of Money: Timeless Lessons on Wealth, Greed, and Happiness:

amazon.com/Psychology-Money-Timeless-lessons-happiness/dp/0857197681

GMB Ep #112: Deferring Taxes Using 1031 Exchanges & Delaware Statutory Trusts with Jamie & Patrick Furlong

 

1031 Exchanges and Delaware statutory trusts are both nifty instruments for financial planning. In today’s episode, we explore more about the deferring taxes using 1031 Exchanges and Delaware statutory trusts with Jamie & Patrick Furlong. Jamie & Patrick specialize in 1031 Exchanges with DST’s and other securitized real estate investments. They exclusively serve clients seeking to acquire replacement properties in a 1031 exchange, navigate the complexities and time restrictions in the ever-changing 1031 environment through their company, Legacy Investment Real Estate.

 

 

Show Notes

[04:05] Story of Jamie & Patrick – Patrick shares their origin story, what they do, and how they do it.

[11:32] Delaware Statutory Trust – Jamie and Patrick explain Delaware statutory trust in detail, sharing compressive real-life examples.

[19:37] Importance of DST – Jamie talks about the significance of Delaware statutory trust and why someone should invest a property into a Delaware statutory trust in the first place.

[33:15] Holding Period – Non-traded real estate investment trusts can bring you a vast misfortune. Jamie discusses the holding time you should consider when contemplating real estate investment trusts.

[37:46] Role of the Manager – Patrick talks about the manager’s role in Delaware statutory trusts.

[46:49] 1031 Exchange Tax Code – Jamie and Patrick talk about the predictable changes in the 1031 Exchange tax code.

 

Information provided today is for educational purposes only, does not constitute as individual investment advice, and should not be relied upon as tax or legal advice.

Please consult the appropriate professional regarding your individual circumstance.

DST 1031 properties are only available to accredited investors (typically defined as having a $1 million net worth excluding primary residence or $200,000 income individually/$300,000 jointly of the last three years; or have an active Series 7, Series 82, or Series 65. Individuals holding a Series 66 do not fall under this definition) and accredited entities only. If you are unsure if you are an accredited investor and/or an accredited entity, please verify with your CPA and Attorney.

There are material risks associated with investing in DST properties and real estate securities including liquidity, tenant vacancies, general market conditions and competition, lack of operating history, interest rate risks, the risk of new supply coming to market and softening rental rates, general risks of owning/operating commercial and multifamily properties, short term leases associated with multi-family properties, financing risks, potential adverse tax consequences, general economic risks, development risks, long hold periods, and potential loss of the entire investment principal.

Securities offered through Concorde Investment Services, LLC (CIS), member FINRA/SIPC. Legacy Investment Real Estate is independent of CIS.

 

Resources

Connect with Jamie and Patrick:

Website: legacyire.com/

Jamie

LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/jamie-furlong-927b9658/

Email: [email protected]

 Patrick

LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/farmranch1031exchangennn/

Email: [email protected]

GMB Ep #111: Diving Into Crypto With Tim Picciott

 

Cryptocurrency has been one of the most popular topics in the financial media in the last few years. It is a transferable digital asset or digital form of money exclusively available online based on blockchain technology. My guest today, Timothy Picciott CFP® CRPC®, Wealth Advisor in Innovative Advisory Group, is a pioneer in cryptocurrency wealth management solutions. He works with Bitcoin and cryptocurrency early adopters to give innovative financial planning solutions, enabling them to pay a minimum tax on their highly appreciated asset as legally possible, while also educating crypto fans on investing in “Crypto IRAs” through self-directed IRAs and 401(K)s.

 

 

Show Notes

[03:19] Tim’s story – Tim shares details about his career and how he came to be in his current position.

[10.48] Fiat Currency – Tim expresses his thoughts about the evolution of fiat currency.

[14:41] Bitcoin and Blockchain – Tim elaborates on his views on Bitcoin and blockchain technology.

[16:57] Opinions – Tim discusses the significance of studying Bitcoins properly and thoroughly.

[22:11] Double-Spend Problem – Tim explains Bitcoin’s potential of solving the double-spend problem.

[27:58] Tech Aspects – Tim goes into greater detail on the technical aspects and benefits of Bitcoin.

[31:00] Electricity – Another objection leveled with Bitcoin is the electricity required to mine them. Tim evaluates the effect of power on bitcoin mining and the resulting implications.

[34:43] Smart Contracts – Tim discusses how smart contracts enabled by blockchain technology have the potential to transform lives.

[36:00] Geopolitical Implications – Tim shares his insights on current world trends along with his take on the US and China’s movements on Bitcoin.

[46:59] Future of Bitcoins – Tim goes to great length on his predictions for Bitcoin’s future.

Resources

Connect with Tim: 

Website: thelibertyadvisor.com/

Website: innovativewealth.com/

LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/timothy-t-picciott-cfp%C2%AE-crpc%C2%AE-547b0b8/

Instagram: @the_liberty_advisor

Podcast: The Liberty Advisor Show W/ Tim Picciott: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-liberty-advisor-show-w-tim-picciott/id1238430499

Mentioned in the episode: 

Ep #107 – Central Bank Digital Currency: Dangers & Possibilities with J Scott Christianson: growmoneybusiness.libsyn.com/website/ep-107-central-bank-digital-currency-dangers-possibilities-with-j-scott-christianson

GMB Ep #107: Central Bank Digital Currency: Dangers & Possibilities With J Scott Christianson

 

Money has taken a lot of different forms over time, including gold & other metals in addition to fiat paper currencies. It’s arguable whether bitcoin and other decentralized currencies are the next version of money. What’s clear is that governments around the world are in an arms race to create their version of “centralized” digital currency. In today’s episode of Grow Money Business, J Scott Christianson joins us to describe central bank digital currencies, the arms race to create them, and potential uses and misuses in the future.

 

 

Show Notes

[02:44] Digital Currency – While digital currencies have become relatively recent mainstream phenomena, they have existed for decades. Scott discusses this new endeavor of developing digital currency.

[07:28] Adopting Digital Currency – Scott highlights the gravity of adopting digital currency in a country by assessing its dangers and possibilities.

[10:39] Transition – Scott outlines how moving from a conventional reserve system to digital money works logistically.

[13:37] China and Digital Currency – Scott broadly talks about China’s stance on digital currency from various angles.

[19:37] China and El Salvador – While China prohibits bitcoin transactions and mining, El Salvador accepts Bitcoin as legal tender. Scott shares his perspective on this schism.

[23:36] Role of USA – Scott discusses the options that the US may have in its arsenal to delay China’s deployment of programmable money.

[28:25] Banking System in the Future – Scott discusses the potential of more authoritarian counties attempting to implement controlled digital currencies, and his predictions for the global banking system in five years.

[35:23] Fiat Currency and Cryptocurrency – Scott shares his thoughts on that intersection between fiat currency and cryptocurrency.

[40:42] Artificial Intelligence – Scott briefly discusses artificial intelligence and his predictions for where it will go in the next five to ten years.

[48:48] Life with AI – Scott shares what applications he believes AI will enable in the following years.

 

Resources

Connect With Scott: 

Website: christiansonjs.com/

Newsletter: frtech.substack.com/

LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/jscottchristianson/

Instagram: instagram.com/jscott_mo/

 

 

Mentioned in the Episode:  

China’s Second Continent: How a Million Migrants Are Building a New Empire in Africa:

goodreads.com/book/show/18373202-china-s-second-continent

Edge of Chaos: Why Democracy Is Failing to Deliver Economic Growth and How to Fix It:

goodreads.com/book/show/36204377-edge-of-chaos

GMB Ep #105: All About Inflation

 

From October 2020 to October 2021, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers grew by 6.2 percent, which according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, was the most significant 12-month gain since November 1990. In relation to this data, we have dedicated today’s episode to exploring more about inflation. Throughout this episode, Grant shares his thoughts about the impact of inflation on the present economic environment and numerous ways to mitigate the risk of inflation.

 

 

Show Notes

[04:21] CPI – Grant explains what CPI is and its relationship with the inflation rate.

[06:40] Inflation – Grant explains inflation in simple terms, pointing out several misconceptions about it.

[09:20] Will the History Repeat? – Grant analyzes and compares the current economic context in the US with the economy in the late 70s and early 80s.

[10:12] Gold and US Dollars – Grant broadly explains the evolution of the relationship between gold and US dollars.

[15:30] Present Economic Situation – Grant delves deeply into the current economic climate in the United States from various perspectives and then provides his thoughts on those observations.

[20:55] TIPS – Grant discusses how increasing your allocation to Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities can act as an inflation hedge.

[23:32] Series I bonds – Grant identifies investing in these types of bonds as an excellent alternative to hedge inflation.

[28:26] Investing in Gold – Grant discusses the potential of investing in gold and shares his thoughts on the matter.

[32:12] Equity – Grant identifies equities as an excellent inflation hedge in the long term.

[34:52] Asset Allocation– As a final remark, Grant discusses his ideas on asset allocation in general.

 

Resources

Bureau of Labor Statistics & CPI-U: bls.gov/cpi/

Treasury Direct & Series I Bonds: treasurydirect.gov/indiv/products/prod_ibonds_glance.html

GMB Ep #103: Revisiting Social Security: The Social Security 2100 Act

 

The Social Security 2100 Act was recently introduced by the Social Security Subcommittee of the House Ways and Means Committee. The reinstatement follows the Social Security Administration’s latest forecasts that the trust funds will deplete in 13 years. In this episode, Grant dives into the status of the Social Security Trust fund, some potential solutions to buffer its reserves, and his overall thoughts on the proposed bill.

 

 

Show Notes

[04:35] Concept of Social Security Trust Fund – Grant explains the whole idea behind the social security trust fund and how it has evolved over the decades.

[06:10] Time to Revise – Why this is the time to revise rules and regulations related to social security.

[09:54] Running out of Money – Grant shares his take on the depleting reserve in the social security trust fund.

[14:26] Raise the Retirement age – Though raising the retirement age is an option for buffering the reserve on the trust fund, Grant explains why it may not be as easy as it sounds.

[15:06] Increase Taxes – Grant identifies a tax increase as the easiest option politically, and explains how this solution will contribute to the elimination of wealth inequality in the country.

[17:30] Adjust the Benefits – How adjusting the amount going out of the fund is another option to prolong the reserve.

[18:18] Social Security 2100 Act – Grant dives deep into the provisions of the proposed act and shares his thoughts on the matter.

[23:11] Investing in US Government Bonds – Though there is added risk, Grant explains how investing the excess of the social security trust fund in US government bonds will help to grow the pool of assets a little bit faster.

 

Resources

Social Security Board of Trustees: Combined Trust Funds Projected Depletion One Year Sooner Than Last Year: ssa.gov/news/press/releases/2021/#8-2021-2

Congress has a new plan to fix Social Security. How it would change benefits: cnbc.com/2021/10/26/social-security-what-a-new-plan-in-congress-would-mean-for-benefits.html

GMB EP #102: Don’t Let Cap Gains Distributions Catch You Sleeping

 

Every year mutual funds are required to distribute capital gains to shareholders – whether you like it or not. Even though “gains” are typically a good thing, they can also leave you with a big unwanted tax bill. This week we cover everything you need to know about mutual fund capital gains distributions, including how to forecast, plan for, and avoid them.

 

 

Show Notes

[02:35] Important Period – Grant starts the discussion by mentioning the parties that need to stay updated about mutual funds during this time of the year.

[05:45] Structure of Mutual Funds – Grant provides a broad description of the structure of mutual funds from various perspectives.

[11:16] Capital Gains Distribution – Keeping an eye on the company portfolio in the mutual fund is important as an investor. Grant shares his thoughts on how to benefit from capital gains distributions.

[14:12] Options for the Investors – Grant explains the numerous options that the investors have at the year-end related to mutual fund investments.

[16:45] Active Mutual Funds and Passive Mutual Funds – Grant analyzes the effect on the distributions of capital gains by active and passive mutual funds, giving numerical examples.

[19:48] Exchange Traded Fund – Capital gains distributions of exchange-traded funds are quite different from the above. Grant dives into exchange-traded funds explaining it with several examples.

 

Resources

Capital Gains Roundup: 2021 Edition | Strong performance and outflows generate some big taxable distributions: morningstar.com/articles/1065314/capital-gains-roundup-2021-edition

 

Fund Capital Gains Distributions: What to Expect in 2021 |A strong year suggests that a decent amount of capital gains will be paid out: morningstar.com/articles/1063488/fund-capital-gains-distributions-what-to-expect-in-2021

GMB EP #101: Bitcoin ETFS Are Here

 

Bitcoin ETFs are here.

They’re not quite what you might think though. We walk through the details of how these beasts are structured and what you need to know before buying them in this week’s podcast episode.

 

 

Show Notes

[02:09] Recent Developments – Grant starts the discussion with a review of how and why cryptocurrencies grew in popularity over the last few years.

[04:37] Diversity of ETFs – How the diverse nature of the ETFs allowed them to utilize cryptocurrencies and the challenges associated with getting a cryptocurrency involved in a mainstream investment vehicle.

[08:12] Newcomers to the Market – Grant reviews a couple of newly introduced ETFs that are backed by Bitcoin and the pros and cons of investing in these compared to a traditional ETF.

[10:48] Futures Contracts – How the futures markets work and how they relate to the way crypto-backed ETFs function.

[14:36] Obscure Costs – Because of the way BTC-backed ETFs are connected to futures contracts, there are some costs involved in the process that may go unnoticed. Grant explains what investors need to keep in mind about the costs of the Bitcoin ETFs.

[16:41] Leveraged ETFs & Mutual Funds – Grant shares his thoughts on the functionality of the two investment vehicles and the similarities they share with Bitcoin ETFs.

[20:10] Bond Funds – Grant explains the difference between how bond funds operate versus investment vehicles based on futures contracts.

 

 

Resources

The Wall Street Journal – ETFs Are a Bad Way to Bet on Bitcoin:

wsj.com/articles/etfs-are-a-bad-way-to-bet-on-bitcoin-11635261745

 

The Wall Street Journal – Bitcoin ETF’s Success Could Come at Fundholders’ Expense:

wsj.com/articles/bitcoin-etfs-success-could-come-at-fundholders-expense-11635080580